In the Press - Europe awaits German fiscal cascade that could be just a trickle

06 July 2020
Bloomberg
“There will be some knock-on effects,” said Christian Odendahl, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform in Berlin. “There’s an argument to be made that spillovers might be lower than they’d otherwise be because the trade links, particularly the service trade links, are limited.”

In the Press - Germany takes over EU Presidency at challenging time

30 June 2020
Voice of America
“Now, I think, there’s a realization that she wants to have been a chancellor that has made Europe stronger, and so they’re kind of a happy marriage of interests going on between her and Macron,” said John Springford, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform research institute in London.

In the Press - UK farmers win concession on post-Brexit agricultural trade policy

29 June 2020
Financial Times
Sam Lowe, trade expert at the Centre for European Reform, a think-tank, said Ms Truss’s decision to set up the commission recognised the awkward political realities of doing a US-UK trade deal as objections from farmers and backbenchers had become increasingly stark in recent months.“It was always going to be difficult for the UK open up its agriculture sector to increased competition from American producers and others,” he said.

In the Press - Brexit is a test of de-globalization in a world of Covid-19

29 June 2020
The Wall Street Journal
UK firms risk being cut out of EU supply chains, likely squeezing manufacturing output and investment. A fall in services trade, which made up 43% of U.K. exports to the EU in 2019, and the arrival of fewer migrants, will inflict the most damage on the economy, says John Springford, an economist at the Centre for European Reform, a London-based think tank. The CER sees the value of UK financial services exports to the EU falling almost 60% under a trade deal and transport-service exports dropping 15%.

In the Press - The UK steers towards a no-deal Brexit in the middle of the pandemic

23 June 2020
Der Spiegel
"Britain is a highly regulated economy, you can't just quickly lower norms," says Sam Lowe, a trade expert at the Centre for European Reform, a London-based think-tank.

In the Press - After splurging on coronavirus, EU seeks state aid compromise with Britain

22 June 2020
Reuters
Sam Lowe, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, said the EU could assess whether UK rules, rather then being identical, achieved a similar effect to its own.“The EU would still have the possibility to guard itself by reinserting tariffs in future,” he said.

In the Press - Johnson invokes Tim Tams as UK growth outlook appears less than sweet

19 June 2020
The Sydney Morning Herald
"The idea is we would still be in 15 years time richer than we are now, but poorer than had we remained in the EU," says Sam Lowe, a trade expert at the Centre for European Reform."There's no economic argument in favour of leaving the EU. And there's just no evidence to suggest free trade agreements can compensate from the fallout from Brexit. They may take the edge off very lightly but they're not going to compensate for the UK having decided to put up barriers to trade with its most important trading partner."

In the Press - Remember Brexit? It’s still not over

18 June 2020
Vox
“They got stuck on some pretty big and basically political issues,” John Springford, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform in London, told me. “In order to unstick it, it’s going to require political intervention on both sides. That’s why nothing much has happened — and coronavirus matters. Because politicians aren’t going to put a lot of effort into this because they’re completely consumed with the pandemic.”

In the Press - Lighthizer: Unlikely US and UK will strike deal before November

17 June 2020
The Telegraph
Sam Lowe, a trade expert with the Centre for European Reform think-tank, tweeted: “The UK may not want food standards to be on the table in the trade talks with the US, but the UK isn’t the country laying the table.”

In the Press - Europe's longtime powers unite behind EU's COVID-19 rescue package

17 June 2020
Voice of America
John Springford, deputy director for the London-based Centre for European Reform policy institute, is similarly skeptical. “There’s a realization she’s nearing the end of her term and wants to have been a chancellor that has made Europe stronger,” Springford said of Merkel.